Weekly Newsletter 09/18/15
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Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

The week began with the markets moving higher on the expectation that  the FOMC would hold interest rates steady. This was confirmed on Thursday but delivered only a brief respite before fears emerged that Janet Yellen may yet become the "Grinch" who stole Christmas. At her press conference, Yellen maintained that FOMC members are still looking to raise rates before the year ends. So rate uncertainty remains and the markets tumbled on Friday on double the average volume ahead of new elections in Greece to take place on Sunday which could threaten the Eurozone bailout agreement.

The NASDAQ composite did maintain a slight gain for the week but our market trend indicators continue to point down.

NASDAQ Chart
 Weekly Breakout Report  
 
Volatility Squeeze (SQZ) breakouts again dominated this week with 34 out of 46 breakouts. The cup and handle pattern (CWH) contributed only 8. There was bne High Tight Flag (HTF) breakout and three Head and  Shoulders Bottoms (HSB).

Breakouts for Week Beginning 09/14/15
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze BrkoutOut Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
09/16/15 QURE SQZ Y 28.16 28.85 97 33.41 18.64 18.64
09/17/15 IMGN SQZ Y 14.43 16.36 95 14.65 1.52 13.37
09/15/15 TRVN HTF N 11.94 12.12 99 13.3 11.39 11.39
09/14/15 SRPT SQZ Y 35.97 36.77 99 39.93 11.01 11.04
09/14/15 IPHI SQZ Y 23.79 24.38 95 24.64 3.57 7.15
09/18/15 VNR HSB N 9.23 9.86 6 9.86 6.83 6.83
09/18/15 ADHD SQZ Y 7.80 8.26 91 8.26 5.90 5.9
09/17/15 XNCR SQZ Y 18.39 19.45 93 18.69 1.63 5.76
09/17/15 HUBS CwH N 49.07 50.58 90 51.65 5.26 5.26
09/14/15 PATK CwH N 44.95 47.27 96 46.51 3.47 5.16
09/15/15 LMAT SQZ Y 13.60 14.06 98 14.3 5.15 5.15
09/16/15 NPTN SQZ Y 7.36 7.37 97 7.68 4.35 4.35
09/18/15 LDRH SQZ Y 39.86 41.42 85 41.42 3.91 3.91
09/16/15 BABA HSB N 64.91 67.23 15 65.75 1.29 3.57
09/16/15 RTEC SQZ Y 12.64 13.09 87 12.68 0.32 3.56
09/18/15 XON SQZ Y 48.46 49.91 97 49.91 2.99 2.99
09/18/15 HZNP SQZ Y 31.17 31.94 98 31.94 2.47 2.6
09/16/15 OWW CwH N 11.62 11.92 87 65.75 N/A 2.58
09/17/15 CVT SQZ Y 32.65 33.12 92 33.49 2.57 2.57
09/16/15 BAH SQZ Y 27.04 27.32 81 27.71 2.48 2.51
09/18/15 CEMP SQZ Y 37.46 38.4 98 38.4 2.51 2.51
09/18/15 PSEM CwH N 16.95 17.34 95 17.34 2.30 2.3
09/18/15 NPTN SQZ Y 7.51 7.68 97 7.68 2.26 2.26
09/18/15 BLUE SQZ Y 138.04 141.14 98 141.14 2.25 2.25
09/17/15 HSKA SQZ Y 34.42 35.15 98 34.39 -0.09 2.12
09/18/15 LMAT SQZ Y 14.04 14.3 98 14.3 1.85 1.85
09/18/15 BBW SQZ Y 19.93 20.26 90 20.26 1.66 1.66
09/16/15 NBIX CwH N 54.09 54.29 99 54.9 1.50 1.55
09/17/15 BAH SQZ Y 27.33 27.72 80 27.71 1.39 1.43
09/17/15 LABL SQZ Y 67.27 68.15 91 67.64 0.55 1.31
09/17/15 TSRO CwH N 57.48 58.00 95 58.13 1.13 1.13
09/18/15 CVT SQZ Y 33.12 33.49 93 33.49 1.12 1.12
09/18/15 DYAX SQZ Y 24.76 24.99 97 24.99 0.93 0.93
09/17/15 KALU SQZ Y 84.12 84.84 82 84.29 0.20 0.86
09/18/15 CMRX SQZ Y 51.03 51.41 96 51.41 0.74 0.74
09/18/15 RAS HSB N 5.49 5.53 23 5.53 0.73 0.73
09/18/15 ADMS SQZ Y 20.98 21.13 84 21.13 0.71 0.71
09/18/15 KITE CwH N 65.56 65.94 96 65.94 0.58 0.58
09/17/15 SHEN SQZ Y 40.68 40.89 96 39.33 -3.32 0.52
09/18/15 RUTH SQZ Y 16.59 16.67 90 16.67 0.48 0.48
09/18/15 CHUY SQZ Y 31.11 31.23 93 31.23 0.39 0.39
09/15/15 CYTK CwH N 7.76 7.76 95 7.51 -3.22 0.39
09/16/15 KYTH SQZ Y 74.81 74.87 98 74.92 0.15 0.15
09/18/15 MSEX SQZ Y 23.17 23.2 83 23.2 0.13 0.13
09/17/15 NAVG SQZ Y 77.83 77.86 80 76.74 -1.40 0.04
09/18/15 TTWO SQZ Y 29.52 29.53 87 29.53 0.03 0.03
Weekly Average (46 breakouts) 2.4 3.31
*RS Rank on day before breakout.

 
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

No new features  this week.
 
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

Use our Trend Indicator Tool on any Stock Symbol

Did you know you can learn the latest trend of any stock in our dataabase?

Suppose, for example, you were contemplating taking a position in QURE, (our top breakout this week) when it appeared on our Volatility Squeeze watchlist on 9/14, the day before breakout. If you looked at a 3-month closing price chart, you would have seen a stock moving sideways, with a possible slight upward trend.
close price chart for QURE
To determine if the trend was really up, you could use our Trend Reversal Signals tool. As of 9/14 the tool would have shown that QURE was in an uptrend since 9/10. Armed with this additional information, you are now better informed.

Trend Reversal Signals for QURE
The Trend Reversal Signals tool is accessed from the Analytical Tools Menu.

Analytical Tools Menu
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 16384.6 -0.3% -8.07% Down
NASDAQ 4827.23 0.1% 1.93% Down
S&P 500 1958.03 -0.15% -4.9% Down
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite
0.1 %		 NASDAQ Composite
-5.66 %		 NASDAQ Composite
-3.96 %		 NASDAQ Composite
1.93 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Tobacco Products - Other Tobacco Products - Other Tobacco Products - Other Drugs Wholesale
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
REIT - Healthcare Facilities
+ 46		 Long Distance Carriers
+ 94		 Long Distance Carriers
+ 170		 Tobacco Products - Other
+ 210
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall TXMD TherapeuticsMD, Inc. 108
Top Technical TXMD TherapeuticsMD, Inc. 108
Top Fundamental PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. 55
Top Tech. & Fund. PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. 55
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall PSEM Pericom Semiconductor Corporation 58
Top Technical PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. 43
Top Fundamental PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. 43
Top Tech. & Fund. PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. 43
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.
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