Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 04/01/17

You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.

Contents
New Features this Week
Strategy Suggestions
Breakouts Summary
Breakouts Detail
Top Cup and Handle Chart Pattern Stocks
Breakouts Index
Major Indexes Performance
Best Performing Index
Best Performing Industry
Most Improved Industry

Weekly Commentary
NASDAQ Sets up a Possible Head and Shoulders Top

The NASDAQ Composite gained 1.4% this week, easily outpacing the S&P 500 which gained 0.8%. Also, the NASDAQ  easily leads with a year-to-date gain of 9.8% compared to the S&P's 5.5%.

Despite investors concerns over the ability of the Trump administration to deliver health care and tax reform, and infrastructure spending, the NASDAQ rose steadily throughout the week, although it did so on generally less than average volume, a warning sign of investor caution. On Friday, the NASDAQ just failed to set a new high before pulling back and closing for a small loss on the  day. This sets up a possible head and shoulders top as shown on this chart. Note that this pattern has a downward sloping neckline, so the pattern will  be completed if the price drops below the left shoulder - the dotted line on the chart. A completed head and shoulder top pattern is a bearish signal, so beware if the NASDAQ price falls below 5812.

The upward trend for the week produced 20 breakouts that are shown below, mostly from a Volatility Squeeze pattern. Volatility Squeezes occur when volume slows which reduces volatility. You can see from  the chart that volume has been mostly below average for the last two weeks, which explains the prevalence of VS breakouts.

NASDAQ Chart

New Features this Week

No new features this week.
 
Strategy Suggestions

Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
 
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 03/27/17
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 7 3.32
SQZ 11 3.43
HTF 2 2.59
HSB
0
DB
0
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 03/27/17
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze BrkoutOut Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2017-03-28 OMER SQZ y 12.68 14 83 15.12 19.24% 29.34%
2017-03-30 ACLS CWH n 16.80 18 88 18.8 11.9% 12.5%
2017-03-30 NLNK HTF n 22.92 23 97 24.1 5.15% 8.42%
2017-03-27 GNBC SQZ y 16.96 17 95 17.8 4.95% 7.75%
2017-03-30 SLP CWH n 11.25 11 85 11.75 4.44% 4.44%
2017-03-27 JBSS CWH n 70.14 70 81 73.19 4.35% 4.83%
2017-03-30 GNBC SQZ y 17.11 18 95 17.8 4.03% 6.81%
2017-03-29 EDN SQZ y 33.48 35 96 34.8 3.94% 4.48%
2017-03-31 AXGN SQZ y 10.14 10 88 10.45 3.06% 4.54%
2017-03-29 PCH SQZ y 44.86 45 82 45.7 1.87% 2.54%
2017-03-29 CRCM CWH n 12.30 12 92 12.51 1.71% 5.45%
2017-03-31 TWOU CWH y 39.07 40 86 39.66 1.51% 3.35%
2017-03-29 NVTA CWH n 10.96 11 85 11.06 0.91% 3.1%
2017-03-30 LBRDK SQZ y 85.78 87 83 86.4 0.72% 1.83%
2017-03-31 PDFS SQZ y 22.49 23 85 22.62 0.58% 1.29%
2017-03-28 TRUE SQZ y 15.46 16 96 15.47 0.06% 3.23%
2017-03-27 AAOI HTF n 56.14 60 99 56.15 0.02% 7.21%
2017-03-30 SALM SQZ y 7.46 8 80 7.45 -0.13% 3.89%
2017-03-30 NVTA SQZ y 11.12 11 89 11.06 -0.54% 1.62%
2017-03-30 GNK CWH n 12.70 13 98 12.5 -1.57% 3.39%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday March 31, 2017
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
COHR 206.16 556,100 Coherent - Inc. Scientific & Technical Instruments 97 205.94
EDN 34.98 87,536 Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A Electric Utilities 95 34.32
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 20663.2
0.32% 4.56% Up
NASDAQ 5911.74
1.42% 9.82% Up
S&P 500 2362.72
0.8% 5.53% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the sitehere.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite NASDAQ Composite
4.56 %
Dow Jones
12.86 %
NASDAQ Composite
9.82 %
Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Consumer Services
General Entertainment
Consumer Services
Regional - Southwest Banks
Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Advertising Agencies
77
Advertising Agencies
95
Beverages - Wineries & Distillers
129
Long Distance Carriers
202
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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