Weekly Newsletter 03/19/10
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You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.
Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

It is Spring Break in Hawaii and my boys were off school so we took a break also.

While browsing the 'net we found a fascinating story by Michael Lewis (Liars Poker) about someone who saw the value in betting against credit default swaps in 2005 and made a mint. Its a long read, but worth it:


The newsletter will return next week.

 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week
No new features this week.
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site
This feature will return next week.
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 10742 1.1% 3.01% Up
NASDAQ 2374.41 0.29% 4.64% Up
S&P 500 1159.9 0.86% 4.02% Up
Russell 2000 673.89 -0.4% 6.28% Up
Wilshire 5000 12058.7 0.62% 4.88% Up
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones
1.1 %
Russell 2000
7.36 %
NASDAQ Composite
11.33 %
Russell 2000
6.28 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Home Furnishing Stores Major Airlines Housewares & Accessories Housewares & Accessories
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
+ 54
+ 99
Long Distance Carriers
+ 213
Long Distance Carriers
+ 210
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Weekly Breakout Report How confirmed breakouts performed this week
# of Breakouts
Period Average1
Max. Gain During Period2
Gain at Period Close3
This Week 23 16.77 5.42% -0.82%
Last Week 23 15.54 8.16% -0.16%
13 Weeks 233 17.69 13.76%
1The average number of breakouts in each week over the previous 13 weeks.
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high.
3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall ABD ACCO Brands Corporation 110
Top Technical CCO Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc. 64
Top Fundamental AIXG Aixtron Aktiengesellschaft 59
Top Tech. & Fund. AIXG Aixtron Aktiengesellschaft 59
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall CROX CROCS Inc. 110
Top Technical JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 85
Top Fundamental AIXG Aixtron Aktiengesellschaft 58
Top Tech. & Fund. AIXG Aixtron Aktiengesellschaft 58
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.

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