Weekly Newsletter 04/14/13
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Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

The major indexes improved significantly this week with the NASDAQ leading the way. Despite this improvement our market trend indicators remain negative due to the continuing disappointing volume levels which remain below the 50 day average. This is evident on the chart below and note that  the average volume line is trending down.

NASDAQ Composite

Continuing Server Difficulties


Our new server continued to give us problems this week with an unreliable real time data feed. This caused us to miss some real time breakout and breakdown alerts and to some inaccuracies in our end-of day reports. To compensate our subscribers, I have extended everyone's subscription by a full week (7 days).  I deeply regret these errors and have worked hard over the weekend to ensure these difficulties are resolved. All breakouts and breakdowns for the week are shown below.

Mike Gibbons

Tables
Breakouts During Week Beginning April 8, 2013
B'out Date Symbol Base B'Out Price B'out Day Close B'out Vol % ADV B'out RS Last Close Current % off BOP *Gain at Intraday High
4/12/2013 INSM CwH 7.49 7.55 2.52 96 7.55 0.80% 4.41%
4/11/2013 VASC CwH 16.85 16.97 1.51 80 17.02 1.01% 1.96%
4/11/2013 ANAC CwH 7.04 7.17 1.86 82 6.96 −1.14% 1.85%
4/10/2013 IYZ FB 25.26 25.76 2.88 51 25.99 2.89% 3.37%
4/10/2013 AAN FB 28.87 28.9 1.78 42 28.75 −0.42% 0.10%
4/10/2013 GBX CwH 22.71 23.38 2.16 89 22.81 0.44% 2.99%
4/8/2013 AIG FB 39.58 40.09 1.55 69 40.13 1.39% 2.17%
4/5/2013 VCLT FB 91.06 91.55 2.94 38 91.88 0.90% 0.98%

Tables
Breakdowns During Week Beginning April 8, 2013
B'down Date Symbol Base B'down Price B'down Day Close B'down Vol % ADV Last Close Gain % at Last Close 2 Gain % at Intraday Low 3
4/12/2013 GTE HS 5.76 5.66 68.9 5.66 1.80% 2.70%
4/12/2013 FSL HS 14.71 14.53 43.6 14.53 1.20% 2.60%
4/12/2013 FHN HS 10.25 10.24 97.7 10.24 0.10% 0.40%
4/12/2013 SGOL FB 152.4 146.67 533.2 146.67 3.90% 4.00%
4/12/2013 IM HS 18.79 18.52 328.5 18.52 1.50% 1.60%
4/12/2013 LSCC HS 5.25 5.23 77.8 5.23 0.40% 1.90%
4/12/2013 HCBK SS 8.62 8.29 605.6 8.29 4.00% 5.10%
4/12/2013 MTB SS 103.43 100.24 347 100.24 3.20% 3.50%
4/12/2013 GLD FB 149.44 143.95 532 143.95 3.80% 4.00%
4/12/2013 POL HS 23.42 22.88 107.4 22.88 2.40% 2.80%
4/12/2013 USG HS 27.01 26.91 53.6 26.91 0.40% 0.80%
4/11/2013 HPQ HS 22.27 20.88 184.1 20.9 6.60% 8.10%
4/11/2013 PSX HS 63.01 62.01 136.6 60.67 3.90% 6.70%
4/11/2013 ISIL HS 8.34 8.14 104.1 7.99 4.40% 5.20%
4/10/2013 SKM HS 17.64 17.47 84.5 17.05 3.50% 4.30%
4/10/2013 USG HS 27.01 26.87 129.6 26.91 0.40% 0.80%
4/9/2013 QCOR HS 29.4 28.74 146.3 28.26 4.00% 6.90%
4/9/2013 UAL HS 29.75 29.29 84.5 30.28 −1.80% 1.80%
4/9/2013 SAVE HS 25.42 25.07 53.8 26.23 −3.10% 1.50%

 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

No new features this week

This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

This feature will return when our server issues are resolved.

 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 14865.1 2.06% 13.44% Down
NASDAQ 3294.95 2.84% 9.12% Down
S&P 500 1588.85 2.29% 11.41% Down
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite
2.84 %
Dow Jones
7.05 %
Russell 2000
14.55 %
Dow Jones
13.44 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
REIT - Healthcare Facilities REIT - Healthcare Facilities Cement Cement
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Beverages - Wineries & Distillers
+ 117
Beverages - Wineries & Distillers
+ 135
Electronics Stores
+ 205
Electronics Stores
+ 208
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Weekly Breakout Report How confirmed breakouts performed this week
# of Breakouts
Period Average1
Max. Gain During Period2
Gain at Period Close3
This Week 7 13.31 1.69% 0.71%
Last Week 17 14.54 0.94% -1.69%
13 Weeks 209 15.08 9.64%
2.91%
1The average number of breakouts in each week over the previous 13 weeks.
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high.
3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall BITA Bitauto Hldg Ltd (ADR) 99
Top Technical BITA Bitauto Hldg Ltd (ADR) 99
Top Fundamental WNC Wabash National Corporation 77
Top Tech. & Fund. LUFK Lufkin Industries, Inc. 35
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall ANAC Anacor Pharmaceuticals Inc 114
Top Technical INSM Insmed Incorporated 83
Top Fundamental VASC Vascular Solutions, Inc. 62
Top Tech. & Fund. VASC Vascular Solutions, Inc. 62
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.

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