Weekly Newsletter 11/29/13
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Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

The shortened trading week saw volumes fall and consequently the number of breakouts also, as significantly increased volume is a pre-requisite for a confirmed breakout. Despite the lower volume, the NASDAQ made a very health 1.7% gain for the week in anticipation of on-line retailers making increased holiday sales.

NASDAQ Comp

November was a particularly strong month for breakouts from our cup-with-handle list with three stocks making over 50% gains.
  • ONVO broke out on Nov. 6 and hit an intraday high 77% above its breakout price 12 days later. Profit taking followed but the stock is still up 15%
  • GNE broke out on 11/15 and hit an intraday high 51% above the BoP. It is still showing a 46% profit.
  • We mentioned UVE last week which hit a 50% intraday gain on Friday

There were many more strong breakouts during November. You can always see a list of breakouts in the last 90 days at menu choice Monitor > Recent Breakouts.

We hope you are enjoying a safe holiday weekend and are duly giving thanks for the goodies we brought you during November ;)

 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

No new features this week.
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

This feature will return next week.
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 16086.4 0.13% 22.76% Up
NASDAQ 4059.89 1.71% 34.46% Up
S&P 500 1805.81 0.06% 26.62% Up
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite
1.71 %
NASDAQ Composite
13.09 %
NASDAQ Composite
17.48 %
NASDAQ Composite
34.46 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Toy & Hobby Stores Toy & Hobby Stores Toy & Hobby Stores Toy & Hobby Stores
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Diversified Computer Systems
+ 62
Medical Practitioners
+ 98
Wholesale - Other
+ 195
Medical Practitioners
+ 189
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Weekly Breakout Report How confirmed breakouts performed this week
# of Breakouts
Period Average1
Max. Gain During Period2
Gain at Period Close3
This Week 4 11.31 2.92% -0.2%
Last Week 9 11 11.41% 9.5%
13 Weeks 145 11.62 20.18%
8.89%
1The average number of breakouts in each week over the previous 13 weeks.
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high.
3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall PZZI Pizza Inn, Inc. 111
Top Technical PZZI Pizza Inn, Inc. 111
Top Fundamental AFSI Amtrust Financial Services, Inc. 44
Top Tech. & Fund. CSTE Caesarstone Sdot-Yam Ltd 60
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall HPQ Hewlett-Packard Company 48
Top Technical HPQ Hewlett-Packard Company 48
Top Fundamental BLMN Bloomin' Brands Inc 43
Top Tech. & Fund. BLMN Bloomin' Brands Inc 43
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.

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