Weekly Newsletter 08/28/15
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You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.
Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

This week I got an email from a subscriber saying:
 "Ha-ha, yes it turns out that your data does help significantly in picking tops. Don’t know if it’s my additional intuition or pattern recognition of my equations. But your data is awesome! We backed off a little, but still up 40%." Emphasis mine.

That was nice, so let me brag a little. Last week I warned of a bearish head and shoulders top and also drew attention to my NASDAQ market signal that had turned to sell on August 13. There was no brilliance on my part, I was simply looking at what the technical indicators said.

So that's the value in subscribing to breakoutwatch.com. We are a provider of information that aims to help you in making rational investment decisions based on sound technical analysis. And the value we offer just got better. The market is down and so are our subscription fees - see our Top Tip  below.

So what now? Well our trend indicators are all down, and are likely to remain so. Watch them every day (they our published in our daily update email) and if you are risk averse, don't go long until they turn up. I suspect we will not return to the highs of July in the near term as markets will continue to fret over the Fed's next interest rate decision due September 17.
NASADQ Composite Chart
 Weekly Breakout Report  

Volatility Squeeze breakouts dominated the week with very few cup and handle stocks able to climb out of their very deep handles. Of the week's breakouts, none were under water by Friday's close and the average gain for the week was a healthy 4.1%.

Breakouts for Week Beginning 08/24/15
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze BrkoutOut Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
08/27/15 MDCO SQZ Y 30.41 31.75 89 33.64 10.62 10.62
08/25/15 CVGW SQZ Y 55.18 55.52 95 59.23 7.34 9.64
08/28/15 SPWH SQZ Y 11.84 12.92 98 12.92 9.12 9.12
08/26/15 CVGW SQZ Y 55.53 59.62 95 59.23 6.66 8.95
08/27/15 SRPT SQZ Y 34.20 36.23 99 36.69 7.28 7.28
08/28/15 MDCO SQZ Y 31.82 33.64 91 33.64 5.72 5.72
08/27/15 QURE SQZ Y 24.66 25.23 97 25.77 4.50 4.5
08/28/15 DO HSB N 23.25 24.29 15 24.29 4.47 4.47
08/27/15 HEES HSB N 17.98 18.52 11 18.69 3.95 3.95
08/25/15 PETX SQZ Y 17.03 17.46 95 17.64 3.58 3.58
08/28/15 VRTU SQZ Y 50.82 52.34 95 52.34 2.99 2.99
08/28/15 IPHI SQZ Y 23.29 23.88 93 23.88 2.53 2.53
08/28/15 JBSS SQZ Y 53.23 54.48 96 54.48 2.35 2.35
08/27/15 DY DB N 69.80 71.26 98 71.14 1.92 2.09
08/28/15 JAKK SQZ Y 9.28 9.42 96 9.42 1.51 1.51
08/28/15 SPPI SQZ Y 7.49 7.6 90 7.6 1.47 1.47
08/28/15 SRPT SQZ Y 36.30 36.69 99 36.69 1.07 1.07
08/28/15 CPE CwH N 8.83 8.91 81 8.91 0.91 0.91
08/28/15 CCS CwH N 22.65 22.81 91 22.81 0.71 0.71
Weekly Average (19 breakouts) 4.14 4.39
*RS Rank on day before breakout.

 
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

No new features this week.
 
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

Subscription Rates reduced 30%
. Test Drive for Just $4.95.

The market is down so I have dramatically reduced subscription rates to improve the value we offer at this uncertain time.

Our Platinum subscription, with all the bells and whistles we offer, is now just $39.95 a month,  that's a 30% reduction from $59.95. Longer term Platinum subscriptions of 3, 6 and 12 months are similarly reduced, and you get a further 5% discount for choosing to autorenew. Gold and Silver subscriptions are also substantially reduced.

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Test Drive Platinum $4.95 N/A N/A N/A
An additional 5% discount is given for subscriptions that are on Autorenew.
Please note that subscriptions are non-refundable.

* CANTATA Evaluator: analysis of stock by timing, technical and fundamental criteria
***Email Alert: You receive an email alert as soon as a stock first meets the break out price and projected daily minimum break out volume. This email will also tell you the maximum price you should pay for the stock (5% above the breakout price).
***Tradewatch is aimed at subscribers who cannot watch the markets in real-time. It lists stocks we have selected as most likely to provide exceptional returns that can be traded at the next open.


 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 16643 1.11% -6.62% Down
NASDAQ 4828.33 2.6% 1.95% Down
S&P 500 1988.87 0.91% -3.4% Down
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite
2.6 %
NASDAQ Composite
-4.77 %
NASDAQ Composite
-2.72 %
NASDAQ Composite
1.95 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Music & Video Stores Cigarettes Tobacco Products - Other Drugs Wholesale
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Electronics Stores
+ 66
Telecom Services - Domestic
+ 67
Tobacco Products - Other
+ 166
Tobacco Products - Other
+ 209
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. 97
Top Technical CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. 97
Top Fundamental PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. 53
Top Tech. & Fund. PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. 53
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall CPE Callon Petroleum Company 83
Top Technical CCS Century Communities, Inc. 61
Top Fundamental CCS Century Communities, Inc. 61
Top Tech. & Fund. CCS Century Communities, Inc. 61
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.

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