Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 05/30/20

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Weekly Commentary
Market Conditions Favor Cup and Handle Pattern and Volatility Squeeze Breakouts

The DJI outperformed this week with a gain of 3.7% while the NASDAQ was the laggard with a gain of 1.8%. The S&P 500 gained 3.0%. However, the DJI has yet to crest its 200 day moving average while the NASDAQ is well above that level and the S&P 500 did so on the Tuesday. Some uncertainty was generated on Friday when President Trump announced the elimination of special treatment for Hong Kong. However, he did not announce new tariffs or that the trade deal with China was in jeopardy. It is unlikely he will take actions that could threaten the economic recovery, or the rise in the markets which he sees as critical to his re-election prospects.
NASDAQ Chart
Cup and Handle Pattern breakouts were in the majority this week with 10 breakouts delivering an average 4% gain, while Volatility Squeeze breakouts were close behind with 8 breakouts and an average 3% gain.

That cup and handle pattern stocks would be in the majority is evident from the NASDAQ chart as we see a succession of new pivot points since the March low followed by a short pullback creating a handle pattern. At the same time, each pullback provides a short reduction in volatility setting up a volatility squeeze for some stocks. As of Friday, there were 135 stocks in a cup and handle pattern, and 49 in a volatility squeeze pattern. In some cases, this sets up both patterns simultaneously (see below).
Chart of the Week
One example of a stock that is simultaneously in a cup and handle pattern and a volatility squeeze is The Kroger Company (KR). While I am not promoting KR as an immediate buy, the constructive action in the handle, combined with the squeeze and increasing momentum suggest it is one to watch in the coming days.

KR Chart

New Features this Week

No new features this week
Strategy Suggestions
Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 05/25/20
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 10 4.03
SQZ 8 3.05
HTF
0
HSB
0
DB
0
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 05/25/20
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2020-05-28 SLP CWH n 43.63 48.43 86 50.67 16.14% 20.86%
2020-05-29 GRVY CWH n 46.30 50.7 86 50.7 9.5% 9.5%
2020-05-26 JOUT SQZ y 71.98 76.06 82 77.61 7.82% 11%
2020-05-27 TSCO CWH n 113.89 119.76 85 122.02 7.14% 7.58%
2020-05-26 BMRN CWH y 100.75 103.74 86 106.55 5.76% 8.69%
2020-05-28 ATXI SQZ y 10.86 68.36 96 11.47 5.62% 8.93%
2020-05-29 KEYS SQZ y 103.65 108.13 83 108.13 4.32% 4.82%
2020-05-26 TENB CWH n 30.18 30.28 84 31.27 3.61% 3.88%
2020-05-29 AKAM SQZ y 102.92 105.8 87 105.8 2.8% 3.25%
2020-05-29 LBRDK SQZ y 133.05 136.62 86 136.62 2.68% 3.3%
2020-05-29 SNAP CWH y 18.46 18.94 91 18.94 2.6% 2.98%
2020-05-29 VRSK SQZ y 168.35 172.68 82 172.68 2.57% 2.93%
2020-05-28 ECL CWH n 208.08 211.41 80 212.58 2.16% 4.24%
2020-05-26 OSPN CWH n 19.95 20.11 88 20.32 1.85% 4.76%
2020-05-29 CDZI SQZ y 11.04 11.07 80 11.07 0.27% 2.17%
2020-05-26 XPEL CWH n 14.90 15.5 85 14.93 0.2% 8.66%
2020-05-26 PRNB SQZ y 65.01 68.36 95 63.89 -1.72% 14.8%
2020-05-26 VHC CWH n 7.28 7.3 94 6.65 -8.65% 7.01%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday May 29, 2020
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
APTO 9.00 1,315,326 Aptose Biosciences - Inc. - Common Shares Biotechnology 98 7.38
AUPH 18.72 2,013,338 Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc - Common Shares Biotechnology 97 15.87
BLDP 11.11 3,334,070 Ballard Power Systems - Inc. - Common Shares Specialty Industrial Machinery 97 10.79
OMI 8.21 4,717,856 Owens & Minor - Inc. Common Stock Medical Distribution 94 7.93
EQX 9.47 3,140,840 Equinox Gold Corp. Common Shares Gold 91 9.22
GCAP 6.72 909,150 GAIN Capital Holdings - Inc. Common Stock Capital Markets 91 6.28
CORT 16.72 1,517,229 Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated - Common Stock Biotechnology 88 15.14
FIT 6.96 10,155,159 Fitbit - Inc. Class A Common Stock Scientific & Technical Instruments 88 6.34
RMBS 16.08 1,325,475 Rambus - Inc. - Common Stock Semiconductors 86 15.54
TAK 19.55 2,121,264 Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited American Dep Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic 80 19.50
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 25383.1
3.75% -11.06% Up
NASDAQ 9489.87
1.77% 5.76% Up
S&P 500 3044.31
3.01% -5.77% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones NASDAQ Composite
10.77
NASDAQ Composite
9.51
NASDAQ Composite
5.76
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Grocery Stores
Shell Companies


Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Infrastructure Operations
22
Recreational Vehicles
68
Uranium
119
Gold
192
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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