Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 08/15/20

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Weekly Commentary
Why We Focus on the NASDAQ for Potential Breakouts

I get asked why do I show the NASDAQ chart each week? The simple answer is that that's where most breakouts come from. For example, since March 13, which was the bottom of the COVID-19 crash, 72% of all breakouts have come from the NASDAQ, 25% from the NYSE and 3% from the AMEX exchange.

The stunning rise of the NASDAQ is evident in the chart since the beginning of the crash. It took only until June 10 to recover to its previous high and has gained a further 9% since then.

The index was knocked of it's perch this week, though as the DJI gained 1.8% and the NASDAQ barely 1%. Analysts are starting warn that the rise in the tech sector may soon be moderated as investors rotate in cyclical stocks.  The sectors that performed best were industrials (+3.1%), energy (+2.3%), consumer discretionary (+1.6%), materials (+1.5%), and financials (+1.3%). Source (briefing.com).

NASDAQ Chart
Chart of the Week
In my view, the most promising High Tight Flag (HTF) stock this week is Emergent BioSolutions (EBS). After setting a recent high, there was some profit taking which has now reversed. This may be the result of Jim Cramer's interview with their CEO last Wednesday.

The 9 month chart puts the HTF qualification in context.
EBS 9 month Chart
New Features this Week

No new features this week
Strategy Suggestions
Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 08/10/20
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 7 2.22
SQZ 4 -5.75
HTF 2 0.6
HSB
0
DB 1 7.07
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 08/10/20
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2020-08-10 MESO CWH n 16.40 17.42 95 17.88 9.02% 19.51%
2020-08-11 APEI DB n 32.95 36.34 78 35.28 7.07% 24.37%
2020-08-12 XBIT SQZ y 16.08 16.44 82 17.2 6.97% 9.14%
2020-08-13 VRTV SQZ y 16.85 17.87 81 17.87 6.05% 9.85%
2020-08-12 BMCH CWH n 32.71 33.3 80 33.83 3.42% 3.45%
2020-08-11 ALB CWH n 89.62 92.45 80 92.39 3.09% 4.78%
2020-08-13 TXG CWH n 101.46 104.77 80 102.71 1.23% 3.37%
2020-08-14 NFE HTF n 26.71 27.03 93 27.03 1.2% 2.62%
2020-08-13 FUV SQZ y 7.11 7.94 97 7.19 1.13% 13.92%
2020-08-12 CGEN CWH n 17.14 17.55 96 17.2 0.35% 5.13%
2020-08-10 REZI HTF n 13.86 14.2 92 13.86 0% 7.5%
2020-08-10 SPSC CWH n 77.76 78.17 83 77.33 -0.55% 6.51%
2020-08-10 MYRG CWH n 38.85 38.87 83 38.46 -1% 2.78%
2020-08-10 FENC SQZ y 9.02 10.17 90 5.67 -37.14% 18.29%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday August 14, 2020
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
FSK 17.25 2,030,781 FS KKR Capital Corp. Asset Management 98 16.14
MIK 8.79 7,224,225 The Michaels Companies - Inc. Specialty Retail 95 8.36
CBB 15.12 771,248 Cinci Telecom Services 94 15.07
INSG 15.25 6,209,206 Inseego Corp. Communication Equipment 94 12.23
EQT 17.97 8,019,852 EQT Corporation Oil & Gas E&P 93 16.96
VMD 11.98 675,950 Viemed Healthcare - Inc. Medical Devices 90 10.42
RAD 18.64 5,567,046 Rite Aid Corporation Pharmaceutical Retailers 89 15.12
DLTH 8.59 595,174 Duluth Holdings Inc. Apparel Retail 88 8.19
TPC 13.90 669,672 Tutor Perini Corporation Engineering & Construction 85 12.88
AVID 9.66 628,820 Avid Technology - Inc. Electronic Gaming & Multimedia 83 8.33
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 27931
1.81% -2.13% Up
NASDAQ 11019.3
0.08% 22.81% Up
S&P 500 3372.85
0.64% 4.4% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones NASDAQ Composite
22.24
NASDAQ Composite
13.24
NASDAQ Composite
22.81
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Silver
Silver
Medical Distribution

Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Agricultural Inputs
33
Agricultural Inputs
43
Residential Construction
73
Copper
128
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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