Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 02/13/21

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Weekly Commentary
HTF Alerts gain an Average of 13%

The NASDAQ Composite started the week strongly but then moved more laterally as the index consolidated recent gains. The chart shows the Average True Range (ATR) boundaries and it's clear the index has been well above the recent average range. The chart shows that when this is sustained for more than a few days the index retreats to within the upper range limit. Consequently, we are not likely to see big upward moves in the coming days. Nevertheless, the underlying trend is likely to remain bullish as vaccination rates increase, the stimulus will pass on 'reconciliation', Chairman Powell has promised to keep borrowed money essentially free, and Janet Yellen expects full employment to return in 2022 if the stimulus is passed.
NASDAQ Chart
A flattening of the trend does not mean that strong breakouts will not occur. I expect we will see more Volatility Squeeze breakouts as volatility decrease allowing the Bolinger Bands to fall within the Keltner channel (see SQZ-methodology) for more explanation.

The continuing strong upward trend continues to produce rewarding High Tight Flag (HTF) breakouts with 2of 4 producing greater than 10% gains this week. ZEDGE was the highest flyer.
ZEDGE HTF Chart

Chart of the Week
BioLife Solutions, Inc

20 years of operating breakoutwatch.com teaches me that although other patterns may occasionally produce better short term gains, the Cup and Handle pattern is the most reliable. BioLife Solutions showed classic handle behavior with some profit taking after setting the pivot, and then strong accumulation on Friday.

BLFS Chart

New Features this Week

No new features this week
Strategy Suggestions
New subscribers often complain that they are overwhelmed with email alerts. These can be limited by setting filters on the watchlists to limit alerts to only those with the characteristics you prefer. Setting a 'Personal Watchlist' can limit the number of alerts further.

Also, always look at the daily report and check the section "CwH Stocks Likely to Close above BoP at Next Session". Use the chart and stock evaluation to make the best use of the information.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 02/08/21
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 11 1.6
SQZ 21 4.75
HTF 4 13.04
HSB
0
DB 2 5.44
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 02/08/21
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2021-02-08 ZDGE HTF n 9.50 11.6 98 13.22 39.16% 55.75%
2021-02-10 PLXP SQZ y 6.90 8.75 84 9.52 37.97% 44.93%
2021-02-09 MESA SQZ y 7.43 7.44 84 9.94 33.78% 45.09%
2021-02-09 ACMR CWH y 107.29 108.2 80 135.23 26.04% 30.77%
2021-02-08 INSE SQZ y 6.62 7.38 83 7.84 18.43% 29.88%
2021-02-08 GPRK DB y 13.63 13.82 74 15.3 12.25% 13.65%
2021-02-08 AR HTF n 8.03 8.08 93 9 12.08% 12.2%
2021-02-12 ZVO SQZ y 6.01 6.58 89 6.58 9.48% 21.46%
2021-02-08 MXC SQZ y 8.61 9 88 9.37 8.83% 65.51%
2021-02-09 NLS CWH n 27.55 30.54 96 29.16 5.84% 13.9%
2021-02-08 BLFS SQZ y 41.36 42.94 90 43.74 5.75% 8.29%
2021-02-12 MYO HTF n 13.89 14.58 92 14.58 4.97% 6.26%
2021-02-08 RHP SQZ y 70.39 71.77 82 73.5 4.42% 4.53%
2021-02-12 DMRC SQZ y 42.77 44.36 83 44.36 3.72% 4.47%
2021-02-12 TNP SQZ y 9.20 9.53 86 9.53 3.59% 4.57%
2021-02-08 OCN SQZ y 27.15 28.5 99 27.98 3.06% 10.24%
2021-02-10 EDUC SQZ y 15.81 16.34 81 16.24 2.72% 5.12%
2021-02-09 AI SQZ y 150.81 168.92 99 153.73 1.94% 17.33%
2021-02-12 NVTA SQZ y 51.10 51.86 82 51.86 1.49% 2.41%
2021-02-08 MN SQZ y 6.52 6.6 89 6.6 1.23% 8.08%
2021-02-10 VER CWH y 37.47 37.51 98 37.8 0.88% 2.1%
2021-02-12 LWAY CWH n 6.86 6.9 86 6.9 0.58% 1.52%
2021-02-11 HCAP CWH n 8.00 8.11 87 8.02 0.25% 1.37%
2021-02-12 DOCU CWH n 263.00 263.3 82 263.3 0.11% 0.19%
2021-02-12 STMP CWH n 276.69 276.73 80 276.73 0.01% 1.25%
2021-02-08 NET DB y 87.15 91.13 94 85.95 -1.38% 9.89%
2021-02-09 MGI CWH n 9.30 9.69 94 9.15 -1.61% 9.89%
2021-02-09 SGC CWH y 26.48 26.83 82 25.96 -1.96% 3.35%
2021-02-09 BNSO SQZ y 6.65 7 89 6.46 -2.86% 15.04%
2021-02-08 NSYS SQZ y 8.28 8.7 86 8.03 -3.02% 8.7%
2021-02-10 SGC SQZ y 26.84 26.86 84 25.96 -3.28% 1.64%
2021-02-09 EYEN CWH n 7.25 7.36 83 6.98 -3.72% 6.48%
2021-02-11 BW HTF n 7.64 7.75 95 7.33 -4.06% 7.85%
2021-02-08 MCRB SQZ y 27.05 28.92 97 25.94 -4.1% 10.5%
2021-02-08 IGMS SQZ y 107.48 119.51 90 102.95 -4.21% 18.26%
2021-02-10 BNSO SQZ y 7.01 7.25 90 6.46 -7.85% 9.13%
2021-02-08 IDYA CWH n 20.75 20.95 86 18.91 -8.87% 3.04%
2021-02-08 COTY SQZ y 7.65 7.94 81 6.78 -11.37% 7.19%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday February 12, 2021
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
LEAF 7.62 717,598 Leaf Group Ltd. Internet Content & Information 86 7.33
CYH 11.45 3,071,384 Community Health Systems - Inc. Medical Care Facilities 83 9.25
DLTH 15.29 510,878 Duluth Holdings Inc. Apparel Retail 81 13.91
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 31458.4
1% 2.78% Up
NASDAQ 14095.5
1.73% 9.37% Up
S&P 500 3934.83
1.23% 4.76% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite NASDAQ Composite
19.16
NASDAQ Composite
27.92
NASDAQ Composite
9.37
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Luxury Goods
Uranium
Silver

Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Solar
132
Thermal Coal
67
Department Stores
133
Department Stores
139
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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