Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 03/20/21

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Weekly Commentary
NASDAQ Trend Continues Down; Markets Concerned over 10-year Treasury Yield

The three major indexes all closed down but our trend indicators for the Dow and S&P 500 remain positive. Traders continue to fret over the 10-year yield which rose to 1.76% driven by inflation fears, but closed on Friday at 1.73%. The inflation fears are driven by the COVID stimulus which is expected to dramatically spur economic growth, and inflation along with it, but the Fed maintains it will keep the Fed Funds rate low until there is substantial improvement in employment. Raising the Fed Funds rate would normally be one tool the Fed has to fight inflation, but that appears to be off the table for now.

Meanwhile, the NASDAQ Chart shows that a head and shoulders pattern formed at the beginning of March, but earlier this week the index failed to penetrate resistance at the level of the left shoulder (L.S.) and has since retreated further. Head and Shoulders patterns are considered bearish.

NASDAQ Chart
Gains from breakouts this week were more subdued than recently. The best performer was SOLY which broke out from a High Tight Flag pattern and closed for a gain of 12.9%.
Chart of the Week
New Forest Energy (NFE)

NFE is the top rated stock on our daily list of stocks likely to exceed their breakout price at the next session. Note the volume spike when the stock set its pivot, which was followed by the usual profit taking, and then volume surged again on Friday.
NFE Chart

New Features this Week

No new features this week
Strategy Suggestions
Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 03/15/21
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 4 1.27
SQZ 22 1.62
HTF 1 12.93
HSB
0
DB
0
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 03/15/21
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2021-03-15 SOLY HTF y 15.39 16.71 73 17.38 12.93% 21.05%
2021-03-19 CRIS SQZ y 11.11 12.14 99 12.14 9.27% 11.34%
2021-03-16 AFMD CWH n 7.73 8.34 89 8.32 7.63% 11%
2021-03-15 DDS SQZ y 91.69 93.96 91 97.92 6.79% 9.35%
2021-03-17 STRO SQZ y 23.66 23.96 87 24.96 5.49% 9.34%
2021-03-17 TSQ SQZ y 10.48 11.75 84 11.02 5.15% 15.27%
2021-03-19 LEU SQZ y 26.50 27.76 92 27.76 4.75% 8.6%
2021-03-15 BBBY SQZ y 30.17 32.6 94 31.58 4.67% 10.47%
2021-03-15 TNP SQZ y 10.23 10.44 90 10.59 3.52% 6.06%
2021-03-15 SLS SQZ y 10.27 11.05 96 10.62 3.41% 18.6%
2021-03-18 IKNX SQZ y 10.36 10.71 90 10.7 3.28% 8.3%
2021-03-17 YETI SQZ y 72.91 75.24 82 75.03 2.91% 3.96%
2021-03-17 KOP SQZ y 36.23 36.82 84 37.26 2.84% 8.06%
2021-03-15 JWN SQZ y 41.38 45.79 85 42.49 2.68% 11.09%
2021-03-17 FLXS CWH n 38.13 38.29 87 39.09 2.52% 7.53%
2021-03-17 LCUT CWH n 15.49 15.54 80 15.84 2.26% 4.71%
2021-03-17 PBI SQZ y 9.42 9.44 91 9.6 1.91% 3.61%
2021-03-19 SIBN SQZ y 33.36 33.83 83 33.83 1.41% 2.34%
2021-03-19 GWPH SQZ y 215.16 215.25 85 215.25 0.04% 0.13%
2021-03-17 AIRT SQZ y 26.76 27.2 90 26.62 -0.52% 1.68%
2021-03-17 QRTEA SQZ y 12.68 13.06 89 12.51 -1.34% 5.4%
2021-03-17 NCR SQZ y 37.60 39.08 80 36.92 -1.81% 4.26%
2021-03-17 SID SQZ y 6.56 6.71 92 6.42 -2.13% 6.48%
2021-03-17 ALTM SQZ y 55.34 56.26 92 53.25 -3.78% 4.81%
2021-03-17 PLT SQZ y 44.10 44.55 96 41.93 -4.92% 1.5%
2021-03-17 DLTH CWH n 16.24 16.77 82 15.05 -7.33% 3.82%
2021-03-17 NEXA SQZ y 10.99 11 80 10.12 -7.92% 2.55%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday March 19, 2021
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
DSKE 7.49 628,048 Daseke - Inc. Trucking 92 7.42
TFFP 18.48 580,299 TFF Pharmaceuticals - Inc. Biotechnology 85 15.83
ENBL 7.42 2,378,216 Enable Midstream Partners - LP Oil & Gas Midstream 80 6.75
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 32628
-0.46% 6.6% Up
NASDAQ 13215.2
-0.79% 2.54% Down
S&P 500 3913.1
-0.77% 4.18% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones Dow Jones
3.6
NASDAQ Composite
22.44
Dow Jones
6.6
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Luxury Goods
Uranium
Solar

Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Advertising Agencies
55
Recreational Vehicles
64
Oil & Gas Drilling
121
Oil & Gas Drilling
139
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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