Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 05/01/21

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Weekly Commentary
This week, 37 Breakouts Gained over 5% Despite Market Consolidation

The major indexes all consolidated this week as market participants fretted over the "peak growth" narrative, which contends that Q1 saw a year-on-year growth rate that can't be sustained as the year progresses, and consequently, the recent upward trend can't be sustained, despite the mostly excellent recent earnings reports, massive projected fiscal stimulus, and a promise of continued low interest rates from the Fed.

The NASDAQ set another new high on Thursday and then retreated on Friday to finish the week with a loss of 0.4%.
NASDAQ Chart
The consolidation, particularly in the DJI and S&P 500, allowed volatility to fall leaving many stocks in a Volatility Squeeze (SQZ). As a consequence, we saw a very large number of stocks breakout from that pattern, with many making large percentage gains. Because of the high number of SQZ breakouts (296), I have chosen to limit the number of breakouts in the table below to only those gaining at least 5%.
Chart of the Week
Avid Technology (AVID) is showing a handle setup with 4 days of profit taking after setting a pivot on April 14 since followed by 8 days of accumulation on the right side of the handle. Notably volume increased over the last 2 days to 50 day average levels. Should AVId continue to move higher, there is an opportuity of at least a 10% gain before meeting resitance at the left cup level.
AVID Chart
Honorable mention: HyreCar (HYRE)

HyreCar, Inc. were a chart of the week selection 2 weeks ago and went on to make a 9% gain after breakout. It is now back on the Cup and Handle list and Friday's volume indicates that buyers are back after profit taking on the last breakout, HYRE also has a very high relative Strength rank of 98.
HYRE Chart
Both AVID and HYRE are on our list of stocks likely to breakout at the next session.
New Features this Week

No new features this week
Strategy Suggestions
Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 04/26/21
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 13 0.2
SQZ 296 0.57
HTF 2 2.89
HSB
0
DB 14 -0.23
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 04/26/21
Because of the large number of SQZ breakouts, this list has been trimmed to include only those breakouts exceeding a 5% gain at Friday's Close
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2021-04-26 EDRY SQZ y 10.32 10.35 94 12.85 24.52% 24.52%
2021-04-26 CROX SQZ y 84.16 84.84 93 100.12 18.96% 22.21%
2021-04-27 CROX SQZ y 84.85 97.82 92 100.12 18% 21.21%
2021-04-27 OSTK SQZ y 69.53 70.56 93 81.5 17.22% 27.14%
2021-04-28 CNTY SQZ y 11.23 12.81 95 13.15 17.1% 20.84%
2021-04-26 EVLO SQZ y 11.55 12.24 90 13.15 13.85% 14.03%
2021-04-26 IMO SQZ y 25.51 25.54 82 28.95 13.48% 13.96%
2021-04-26 WLL SQZ y 35.49 35.93 99 40.07 12.91% 15.89%
2021-04-26 UAN HTF n 49.90 52.7 99 56.01 12.24% 26.22%
2021-04-28 IMO SQZ y 25.89 27.01 83 28.95 11.82% 12.28%
2021-04-26 IRIX SQZ y 7.72 9.2 97 8.6 11.4% 25.84%
2021-04-27 LDL SQZ y 33.16 34.1 91 36.85 11.13% 13.9%
2021-04-26 DFS SQZ y 102.85 106.19 87 114 10.84% 11.62%
2021-04-28 NOG SQZ y 13.07 14.21 99 14.48 10.79% 15.99%
2021-04-26 ALPN SQZ y 12.08 12.56 85 13.27 9.85% 10.6%
2021-04-27 GLP SQZ y 22.22 22.76 86 24.13 8.6% 10.17%
2021-04-28 LDL SQZ y 34.11 36.02 91 36.85 8.03% 10.73%
2021-04-29 RLGY DB n 16.05 16.83 86 17.28 7.66% 11.65%
2021-04-28 HT SQZ y 10.74 11.02 89 11.56 7.64% 10.24%
2021-04-26 LAZY CWH n 23.00 23.51 98 24.75 7.61% 11.91%
2021-04-27 EVLO SQZ y 12.25 12.42 90 13.15 7.35% 7.51%
2021-04-27 AGS SQZ y 8.35 8.63 93 8.95 7.19% 8.98%
2021-04-29 IMO SQZ y 27.02 27.64 85 28.95 7.14% 7.59%
2021-04-26 EVH SQZ y 20.34 21.19 88 21.66 6.49% 8.95%
2021-04-26 PGNY CWH n 53.47 55.9 85 56.91 6.43% 11.39%
2021-04-26 DBD SQZ y 14.15 14.2 92 15.01 6.08% 10.53%
2021-04-27 THC SQZ y 55.89 56.46 89 59.26 6.03% 9.57%
2021-04-28 GLP SQZ y 22.77 23.73 86 24.13 5.97% 7.51%
2021-04-28 PBFX SQZ y 14.57 14.65 83 15.4 5.7% 7.69%
2021-04-27 XEC SQZ y 62.69 63.63 92 66.2 5.6% 10.34%
2021-04-26 PRTY SQZ y 6.63 6.65 99 7 5.58% 10.41%
2021-04-28 DVN SQZ y 22.15 24.03 90 23.38 5.55% 12.19%
2021-04-27 FANG SQZ y 77.47 79.32 90 81.73 5.5% 13.07%
2021-04-26 GTLS SQZ y 152.80 155.2 94 160.63 5.12% 9.55%
2021-04-26 VRTS CWH n 260.20 261.68 89 273.46 5.1% 6.82%
2021-04-29 PBFX SQZ y 14.66 15.23 82 15.4 5.05% 7.03%
2021-04-28 APA SQZ y 19.04 20.49 81 20 5.04% 11.61%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
CwH Stocks Likely to Close above BoP at Next Session*
Symbol Company Industry RS Rank Last Close BoP % off BoP
CDNA CareDx, Inc. Diagnostics & Research 89 79.07 81.86 96.59
ALB Albemarle Corporation Specialty Chemicals 86 168.17 171.96 97.8
AVID Avid Technology, Inc. Electronic Gaming & Multimedia 94 22.74 23.54 96.6
LBAI Lakeland Bancorp, Inc. Banks - Regional 81 18.13 18.32 98.96
HYRE HyreCar Inc. Rental & Leasing Services 98 13.4 13.98 95.85
CLNY Colony Capital, Inc. REIT - Diversified 95 7 7.22 96.95
ALTM Altus Midstream Company Oil & Gas Midstream 98 60 61.84 97.02
CDMO Avid Bioservices, Inc. Biotechnology 96 21.405 22.14 96.68
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation Apparel Manufacturing 84 133.29 135.25 98.55
NUAN Nuance Communications, Inc. Software - Application 86 53.17 53.93 98.59
SIM Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C. Steel 85 14.5 14.73 98.44
LDL Lydall, Inc. Auto Parts 91 36.85 37.77 97.56
CMD Cantel Medical Corp. Medical Instruments & Supplies 83 87.91 89.76 97.94
HBI Hanesbrands Inc. Apparel Manufacturing 80 21.06 21.49 98
STXB Spirit of Texas Bancshares, Inc. Banks - Regional 85 23.17 24.27 95.47
REZI Resideo Technologies, Inc. Security & Protection Services 97 30.01 31.22 96.12
NTRA Natera, Inc. Diagnostics & Research 88 110.02 117.54 93.6
NET Cloudflare, Inc. Software - Infrastructure 90 84.74 88.04 96.25
NVAX Novavax, Inc. Biotechnology 98 236.93 263.67 89.86
*These stcocks were selected using our price breakout model. This model correctly selected CWH stocks that met or exceeded their breakout price with 80% probability over Jan. 2019 to Nov. 2020. This does not imply that on any one day, 80% or any of the stocks selected will meet or exceed their breakout price.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday April 30, 2021
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
HYRE 13.98 736,461 HyreCar Inc. Rental & Leasing Services 98 13.40
CLNY 7.22 5,251,682 Colony Capital - Inc. REIT - Diversified 95 7.00
VLRS 16.94 222,820,496 Controladora Vuela Compan Airlines 94 16.27
UMC 11.25 294,692,070 United Microelectronics Corporation (NEW) Semiconductors 93 9.92
SKT 18.82 291,562,317 Tanger Factory Outlet Centers - Inc. REIT - Retail 92 17.45
HBM 8.54 2,208,210 Hudbay Minerals Inc. Copper 91 7.47
GT 18.66 7,321,438 The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company Auto Parts 90 17.21
DVAX 11.84 4,790,488 Dynavax Technologies Corporation Biotechnology 89 9.98
AGRO 9.64 824,412 Adecoagro S.A. Farm Products 87 9.31
SIM 14.73 223,504,947 Grupo Simec - S.A.B. de C. Steel 85 14.50
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 33874.9
-0.5% 10.68% Up
NASDAQ 13962.7
-0.39% 8.34% Up
S&P 500 4181.17
0.02% 11.32% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
S&P 500 Dow Jones
6.82
NASDAQ Composite
27.96
S&P 500
11.32
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Aluminum
Luxury Goods
Home Improvement Retail

Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
32
Beverages - Brewers
59
REIT - Residential
97
Airports & Air Services
117
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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