Weekly Newsletter 04/25/14
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Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

Although the NASDAQ continued to rally through Thursday, Friday's collapse left our market signal for the NASDAQ Composite pointing down, while the DJI and S&P 500 have reversed and are showing an upward trend developing. Only the S&P 500 showed a positive gain for the week, however. The positive trend for large cap stocks must be viewed with some skepticism considering the Ukrainian situation. With new sanctions to be imposed on Russia on Monday, the possibility of a renewed global recession is looking plausible, so caution is still advised.

NASDAQ Comp.
 Weekly Breakout Report  

The rally in the NASDAQ which started the week produced a larger number of breakouts this week. Three stocks produced intraday gains of over 10% with only 4 out of 15 breakouts closing down.

Breakouts for Week Beginning 04/21/14
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Breakout Price Brkout Day Close Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intranet High
04/23/14 DEN CwH N 9.00 9.67 9.5 5.56 19.78
04/21/14 SYRG CwH N 11.06 11.25 12.2 10.31 13.83
04/23/14 PAM CwH N 6.65 7.08 7.07 6.32 10.23
04/22/14 VTNR HTF N 7.73 7.75 8.14 5.30 7.37
04/23/14 PEBO SQZ Y 25.84 25.94 26.29 1.74 5.88
04/22/14 PEBO SQZ Y 25.84 25.94 26.29 1.74 5.88
04/24/14 GPI HSB N 67.81 69.39 68.94 1.67 5.71
04/21/14 AZN DB N 65.69 69.10 68.66 4.52 5.19
04/23/14 TNP CwH Y 7.95 8.35 7.18 -9.69 5.03
04/21/14 Z CwH Y 100.24 103.00 92.77 -7.45 4.59
04/24/14 MNK SQZ Y 66.33 67.61 66.99 1.00 3.74
04/24/14 LCUT SQZ Y 18.78 19.09 19.3 2.77 3.3
04/21/14 HNRG SQZ Y 9.03 9.04 9.1 0.78 2.88
04/22/14 HMHC HTF Y 20.57 20.63 20.45 -0.58 1.33
04/24/14 LAZ CwH Y 49.00 49.01 47.37 -3.33 0.02
Weekly Average (15 breakouts) 1.38 6.32
 
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

No new features this week.
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

Recommended Reading for New Subscribers

New subscribers may not have found our newsletter archive (navigate to Monitor > Newsletters) which contains a huge number of tips for subscribers that I have developed over the thirteen years we have been operating.

There's a lot to read, so this week, I'm suggesting just a few of the newsletter "Top Tips" that you may find useful.
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 16361.5 -1.3% -1.3% Up
NASDAQ 4075.56 -2.42% -2.42% Down
S&P 500 1863.4 0.81% 0.81% Up
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
S&P 500
-0.45 %		 S&P 500
4.08 %		 S&P 500
5.89 %		 S&P 500
0.81 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Toy & Hobby Stores Toy & Hobby Stores Medical Practitioners Toy & Hobby Stores
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
REIT - Healthcare Facilities
+ 36		 Foreign Utilities
+ 79		 Synthetics
+ 189		 Aluminum
+ 203
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall AEE Ameren Corporation 0
Top Technical AEE Ameren Corporation 0
Top Fundamental SAM Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The) 0
Top Tech. & Fund. SAM Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The) 0
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall LAZ Lazard Ltd. 39
Top Technical LAZ Lazard Ltd. 39
Top Fundamental LAZ Lazard Ltd. 39
Top Tech. & Fund. LAZ Lazard Ltd. 39
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.
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